Jargonautica
Maths and Statistics

Statistical Significance and the p-value

Also called: p-value, Statistical Significance

A measure of how surprising your result would be if nothing were really going on. It is routinely misread as the probability that your finding is true, which it is not. A significant result can be tiny and useless; a non-significant one can mean you simply did not gather enough data.

Technical view

The probability of observing data at least as extreme as yours under the null hypothesis. It says nothing about effect size or about the probability of the hypothesis. Multiple comparisons inflate false positives, requiring correction. In evaluation work the practical issues are running many variants until one passes, and treating a threshold as a decision rule rather than reporting effect size with an interval.


Part of AI Terminology Index, section: Maths and Statistics.

How it connects

Statistical Significance and the p-value links to 5 other terms. The faint lines are links between those terms. See it in the full graph.

Benchmarks and EvalsBenchmarks and EvalsControlled ExperimentControlled Experime…BaselineBaselineConfidence IntervalConfidence IntervalRegression to the MeanRegression to the M…Statistical Significance and the p-value